Soccer handicapper Sean Trepedi is in his first season at The Submit NFL A punter’s information.
Arizona Cardinals (+3) over MIAMI DOLPHINS
Tua Tagovailoa is again, and that line suggests the market is as misplaced to understand his influence because the Dolphins had been with out him.
All of us agree that Miami’s offense can cook dinner when Tagovailoa makes enjoyable of his receivers, however I do not count on his first sport to magically resurrect an operation that’s dead-last in EPA offense per sport.
As Tagovailoa shakes off months of rust, Kyler Murray counters that he is thrived as an underdog on the street — he is 18-7-2, the sixth-best report since 2003.
Whereas traditionally it is exhausting to belief Murray after a win, do not forget that Miami allowed the defunct Titans to return to South Seashore and rating 31 factors.
The Dolphins even have but to cowl in three house video games, and with the unfold set at area objective, remember the fact that Arizona’s punts are 20.9 % extra correct than Miami’s.
Indianapolis Colts-HOUSTON TEXANS Underneath 46.5
We will formally maintain our horses for the Colts offense – and Anthony Richardson.
It is constructed for a middle-of-the-pack participant standing in offensive DVOA and producing unfavorable EPA per sport.
Final week, Richardson had zero touchdowns, fumbles and completed with a 59.2 passer ranking regardless of a easy 16-10 win by which the Colts nonetheless gained 50 fewer yards than the Dolphins.
Richardson is the one quarterback to finish lower than 50 % of his move makes an attempt (minimal 25).
Betting on the NFL?
He’ll take these slumps to Houston to face a blitz-happy Texas protection that permits 4.8 yards per play, the second-fewest general and ranks second in defensive DVOA.
Nico Collins’ absence was evident in C.J. Stroud’s 86 passing yards in opposition to Inexperienced Bay.
All issues thought-about, the Colts and Texans share a mixed 5-9-0 report for Over/Unders.
Final week: 1-1. Seahawks (W), 49ers (L)
Season: 7-7.